Edmonton heading into deep freeze, could see -40 C to -45 C by Monday

Click to play video 'Edmonton afternoon weather forecast: Friday, February 5, 2021' Edmonton afternoon weather forecast: Friday, February 5, 2021
WATCH ABOVE: What is wind chill and what can we expect as the cold snap settles in? Jesse Beyer explains in his Friday, February 5, 2021 Global News at Noon afternoon weather forecast for Edmonton and northern Alberta. – Feb 5, 2021

Edmonton and much of central Alberta are heading into the coldest stretch of winter so far this year.

A ridge of high pressure will drag an Arctic air mass south from the Northwest Territories into Alberta by Monday morning, according to Environment and Climate Change Canada.

READ MORE: Calgary hit with snow, plunging temperatures ahead of weekend

Meteorologist Sara Hoffman said the Arctic air will translate to frigidly cold temperatures through the weekend and into next week.

“It’s already cold and it will continue to get colder over the weekend,” she said. “Tomorrow will be colder, Sunday will be colder and it will culminate in Monday morning being the coldest temperatures.

“Edmonton could be on the edge of that -40 C to -45 C range by Monday morning.”

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By Sunday, Feb. 7, 2021, much of Alberta was under an extreme cold warning. Environment Canada

Hoffman said the coldest temperatures will stretch from Edmonton east through central Alberta to the Lloydminster area, and up through the Cold Lake and Coronation region. It’ll feel even colder with the wind chill factored in.

“Certainly by Monday morning a wind chill value of -45 to -47 is entirely possible,” she said of the Edmonton and central Alberta regions.

“It’s also going to continue its way past Edmonton and make its way into Saskatchewan and Manitoba. So it’s a Prairies-wide thing. Misery loves company, I guess, so we’ll all be in it together.”

Read more: Parts of Saskatchewan under an extreme cold warning

And once the cold temperatures settle in, they won’t be going anywhere too quickly.

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“When we get these cold air outbreaks, especially these Arctic cold air outbreaks, they do tend to last about a week to two weeks’ time. It’s quite hard to move this cold air once it’s entrenched itself over an area,” Hoffman explained.

“We’re expecting well below normal temperatures to persist well through next week and potentially last through next weekend.”

Click to play video 'Edmonton’s Deep Freeze festival adapts to offer safe winter activities' Edmonton’s Deep Freeze festival adapts to offer safe winter activities
Edmonton’s Deep Freeze festival adapts to offer safe winter activities – Feb 5, 2021

Extreme cold warnings were in place for much of northern and eastern Alberta Friday afternoon and were expected to be expanded farther south.

The extreme cold warning included Edmonton, St. Albert and Sherwood Park by Saturday afternoon, with wind chill values between -40 C and -50 C expected into next week.

“If it’s too cold for you to stay outside, it’s too cold for your pet to stay outside,” Environment Canada said.

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Read more: Edmonton activates extreme weather response with overnight transit to shelters

On Thursday, Edmonton activated its extreme cold weather response, which means two ETS bus loops will be operating overnight, travelling between emergency shelters, transit centres and other key locations.

Anyone who sees somebody outside in distress is asked to call 211.

How common are these extreme temperatures?

When it comes to these extremely cold temperatures, Hoffman said Edmonton is no stranger these conditions, but it depends where you live.

“Cold on the Prairies is very common. In fact, we were looking back in recent history to see the last time that Edmonton saw -40 C. That’s not a wind chill index, that’s an absolute degrees Celsius temperature and the Edmonton airport has at least reached it in the last two years consecutively,” Hoffman said.

“We’re not stranger to this cold, especially in the outlying areas of Edmonton.”

However, she noted the weather station at Edmonton city centre hasn’t dipped to -40 C since 1972.

“It’s quite rare to reach that -40 C in the city centre, although not as rare for outlying areas and low-lying areas.”

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Click to play video 'How accurate is wind chill?' How accurate is wind chill?
How accurate is wind chill? – Mar 10, 2019

How long will this cold stretch last?

Hoffman admits it’s tough to say exactly how long the below average temperatures will last. She said forecast models have the most accuracy one to seven days out. Forecasting beyond that is based on probability.

“Looking out beyond Valentine’s Day we have to look at, what is the probability of above or below normal temperatures?” Hoffman said.

“Beyond Valentine’s Day we’re looking at a high probability of below normal temperatures.”

She added the Environment and Climate Change Canada forecast for February calls for “well below normal temperatures for much of Canada.”

Click to play video 'Dropping temperatures a big concern for local Edmonton shelters like the Bissell Centre' Dropping temperatures a big concern for local Edmonton shelters like the Bissell Centre
Dropping temperatures a big concern for local Edmonton shelters like the Bissell Centre – Feb 5, 2021

Hoffman reminds Albertans that with temperatures this low, exposed skin can become frostbitten in just minutes. Signs of frostbite include numbness and white, waxy skin. If you plan to spend any length of time outside, it’s recommended you layer up with a wind-resistant outer layer.

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More information on frostbite and how to prevent it can be found on Environment Canada’s website.

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