Poll shows differences between eligible voters and likely voters

A man casts his vote for the 2011 federal election in Toronto in this May 2, 2011 photo.
A man casts his vote for the 2011 federal election in Toronto in this May 2, 2011 photo. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chris Young

TORONTO – A recent poll conducted by Angus Reid Global shows the Liberals with a five point lead among eligible voters in Canada, but are virtually tied with the Conservatives when considering those who are more likely to vote.

If an election were held tomorrow, the poll shows that 33 per cent of eligible voters would vote Liberal, while 28 per cent would vote for the Conservative party. NDP is close behind with 27 per cent support.

Among those who would most likely get out and vote, 32 per cent would support the Liberals with the Conservatives at 31 per cent. The NDP drops a point, garnering 26 per cent of likely voters.

The poll also shows that Liberal leader Justin Trudeau and NDP leader Thomas Mulcair both have an approval rating of 39 per cent. Out of those polled, 33 per cent disapprove of Trudeau’s performance, while only 26 per cent disapprove of Mulcair’s.

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Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s performance has a 29 per cent approval rating with a 56 per cent disapproval rating. Also disconcerting for the Prime Minister – 59 per cent of those polled believe it’s time for a change in government.

On who would make the best Prime Minister, 24 per cent of eligible voters said Trudeau, 23 per cent picked Harper and 17 per cent chose Mulcair.

On the issue of who was best suited to deal with the economy, 28 per cent said Harper while only 19 per cent said Trudeau. One third of those polled felt the economy was the most important issue facing Canadians today.

Angus Reid Global conducted the survey online from March 3 to 9. A random selection of 6,445 Canadian adults were polled. The margin of error is +/- 1.2 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

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