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Alberta government expects boost to 2024-25 surplus largely due to oil prices

WATCH ABOVE: (February 2024): We knew the Alberta budget would be one of fiscal restraint and the finance minister calls it a responsible plan. As Adam MacVicar reports, there are funding increases to health and education, and some tax increases as well. – Feb 29, 2024

Alberta’s first-quarter fiscal update shows the government expects a surplus of $2.9 billion but won’t have surplus cash in the short term and will need to borrow hundreds of millions of dollars.

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Finance Minister Nate Horner said it’s an accounting surplus, meaning the money is tied up, so in the meantime the province will need to take on $641 million in short-term borrowing.

That surplus is up $2.6 billion from the slim surplus of $367 million forecast in February’s budget — largely due to higher-than-expected oil prices.

The province is pegging the price of West Texas Intermediate oil at US$76.50, up US$2.50 per barrel than what was forecast at budget.

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In 2024-25, the government plans to spend $73.3 billion and rake in $76.2 billion in revenues.

Despite the operating surplus, the government has no plan to immediately introduce the personal tax cut Premier Danielle Smith promised in the 2023 election.

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