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Dicey markets, low rates are making life difficult for pension plans

Canadian pension plans posted a negative return of 2.3 per cent in the three months ended Sept. 24, according to The Mercer Pension Health Index.
Canadian pension plans posted a negative return of 2.3 per cent in the three months ended Sept. 24, according to The Mercer Pension Health Index. Credit/Getty Images

TORONTO – A rough ride on the stock market and lower long-term interest rates hurt Canadian defined benefit pension plans this summer.

The Mercer Pension Health Index, which represents the solvency ratio of a model plan, fell in the third quarter to 93 per cent on Sept. 24, down from 98 per cent at the end of June.

Mercer also said the median solvency ratio of the pension plans of its clients stood at 87 per cent, down from 92 per cent at the beginning of the third quarter.

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“Both the key drivers of pension health — equity market returns and long-term interest rates — went in the wrong direction over the summer,” said Manuel Monteiro, leader of Mercer’s financial strategy group.

MORE: Most Canadian investors stayed course during wild stock market swings

Mercer said that a typical balanced pension portfolio would have posted a a return of negative 2.3 per cent during the quarter up to Sept. 24.

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Meanwhile, a variety of factors including lower commodity prices, uncertainty from the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding an interest rate increase, a rate cut by the Bank of Canada and Canada officially entering a recession pressured the interest rate yield curve lower.

Long-term interest rates are used to calculate how much a defined benefit pension plan is required to hold to make the future payments promised to pensioners. The lower the rates, the more a plan needs to hold.

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