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Taiwan’s pro-China ruling party suffers strong setback in local elections

Supporters of Taiwan's ruling Nationalist Party watch TV for the election results in Taipei, Taiwan, Saturday, Nov. 29, 2014. AP Photo/Chiang Ying-ying

TAIPEI, Taiwan – Taiwan’s pro-China ruling Nationalist Party suffered stronger-than-expected defeats in municipal elections Saturday, dealing a stiff blow to a president who has staked his reputation on closer ties with Beijing, and leading the premier to resign.

With more than 80 per cent of precincts reporting, the Nationalists had lost eight city and county elections, including in longtime strongholds Taipei, the capital, and the major central city of Taichung. Nationalist Party candidates also lost elections in three counties, the northern port city of Keelung, the southern agricultural city of Chiayi and the city covering Taiwan’s main airport.

Pre-election polls had forecast Nationalist Party losses only in Taipei, Taichung and Keelung. Premier Jiang Yi-huah – the government’s No. 2 – resigned Saturday night after the defeats.

The heavy losses point to an electorate that is souring on President Ma Ying-jeou’s forging of closer ties with mainland China. The defeats will make it tougher for the Nationalists to hold onto the presidency in 2016 and jeopardize six years of landmark talks with China that have led to 21 agreements.

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Those trade and investment deals have lifted Taiwan’s half-trillion-dollar economy, while raising Beijing’s hopes for political reunification. Beijing has claimed sovereignty over Taiwan since the Chinese civil war of the 1940s, but since taking office in 2008, Ma has set aside the old disputes to ease tensions through talks.

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Taiwanese have been watching closely as Beijing takes a hard-line stance on demands for democratic rule in Hong Kong, a semiautonomous Chinese city that has been gripped by more two months of pro-democracy protests.

“We want to send the Nationalists a warning,” said Lin Wen-chih, a 48-year-old film producer who voted for the winning independent Taipei mayoral candidate, Ko Wen-je. “Taiwan is an independent country. We don’t want the Nationalists to take measures that would have it eaten up (by China).”

Preliminary results show that the chief opposition Democratic Progressive Party gained most in Saturday’s vote. The DPP favours continuing talks with China’s Communist leadership, but disputes the dialogue framework that binds the two sides under Beijing’s jurisdiction, instead preferring talks in an international setting.

A weakened Nationalist Party, also known as the Kuomintang, or KMT, may erode Ma’s mandate before 2016 to sign a pact with China to cut import tariffs, set up official representative offices on both sides and push for a meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. If the opposition party wins the presidency, Beijing is likely to suspend deals with Taiwan.

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Alan Romberg, East Asia Program director with the Stimson Institute, a think-tank in Washington, said the opposition party remains a wild card in Taiwan-China relations.

“The Democratic Progressive Party has made a number of adjustments over time, moving from outright opposition to various economic ties to acceptance of such ties as important,” he said.

When Democratic Progressive Party President Chen Shui-bian ruled the island from 2000 to 2008, he angered China by advocating for constitutional independence. Beijing threatened then to use force to stop the move.

In March, Ma’s government faced thousands of student-led protesters who occupied parliament and nearby streets in Taipei to stop ratification of a service trade liberalization agreement with China.

“The electorate in general is not happy with the KMT running the country overall, and they’re also not happy with the local administration run by the KMT, and they want to have someone new to be in office,” Democratic Progressive Party Secretary-General Joseph Wu said.

Taiwanese elected a total 11,130 people to local offices Saturday after months of fierce campaigning marked by personal insults, truck-mounted loudspeakers and firecracker shows.

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