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Here’s why thinning Arctic ice could mean trouble for the whole food chain

What's happening under thinning Arctic ice needs more exploration, scientists say.
What's happening under thinning Arctic ice needs more exploration, scientists say. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

Phytoplankton blooms are thriving under thinning Arctic sea ice, and it could disrupt the entire food chain.

Researchers were stunned when they first discovered the blooms under ice in 2011, but they weren’t sure if that always happened and we just didn’t know, or if it was new.

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Now, using mathematical modelling, Harvard researchers have determined “thinning Arctic sea ice may be responsible for frequent and extensive phytoplankton blooms, potentially causing significant disruption in the Arctic food chain.”

Phytoplankton contain chlorophyll and require sunlight in order to live and grow; they provide food for a wide range of sea creatures, from tiny zooplankton to whales.

“They’re really, really important because they’re sort of the base of the food chain,” said Kent Moore, Fulbright visiting chair in Arctic studies at the University of Washington.

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Arctic sea ice has been melting to record winter lows, and what’s there is thinner than it used to be.

When under ice cover, Arctic ecosystems are typically dark, but the thinning ice is letting light shine through allowing the phytoplankton to grow earlier than usual.

“A lot of animals in the Arctic, things like zooplankton that are a really important food source, they time their reproduction around [phytoplankton] production,” said Bailey McMeans, assistant professor of biology at the University of Toronto, Mississauga.

“So if this means that the timing of peak primary production is going to occur earlier, those animals might not have access to that food that they need to grow and survive.”

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The bright side? There’s a chance this could help some species thrive.

“If they’re able to take advantage of it, and sort of shift adaptively and are able to exploit that resource, they might actually increase in their growth,” said McMeans.

Reliant species will need to adapt — the question is will they do it in time.

“Eventually they will figure it out, but that time-scale is a lot longer than we’re seeing the [climate] changes on,” said Moore.

READ MORE: How climate change will affect Canadians

Moore calls the blooms a “canary in the coal mine.” We’re not just seeing sea ice melting due to climate change — the entire ecosystem is shifting.

“I don’t know what we can do about it because frankly it’s a symptom of a large-scale change that’s happening in the Arctic,” said Moore.

“The only way to kind of change this is to slow down the warming … there’s nothing else.”

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