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Battle brewing in ‘riding to watch’ Calgary Confederation: poll

Undecided voters make up a significant portion of the electorate, and swaying them may mean the difference between victory and defeat.
Undecided voters make up a significant portion of the electorate, and swaying them may mean the difference between victory and defeat. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chris Young

CALGARY – A new poll suggests the Conservatives and Liberals could find themselves in a tight race when votes are cast in the federal riding of Calgary Confederation.

The poll from Mainstreet Technologies released on Tuesday asked over 600 residents living in the electoral district which candidate they would support if the federal election were held today.

Most voters, both decided and undecided, indicated they would vote for Liberal candidate Matt Grant, with Conservative candidate Len Webber coming in a close second.

The national research firm anticipates Calgary Confederation will see a neck-and-neck race on Election Day, with Grant edging out Webber by a single point.

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“Calgary has turned in to a hotbed of competitive races in this federal election,” said president of Mainstreet Research Quito Maggi in a news release. “Turnout and youth engagement will be a key factor in this election.”

The poll found Grant holds a commanding lead among those 18-34 with 50 per cent saying they would vote for the Liberal, while most voters over the age of 65 (39 per cent) said they’d vote for Webber.

Maggi suggests that Webber’s advantage lies amongst the undecided voters, as the poll found 18 per cent of undecided respondents were “leaning towards” Webber, in comparison to just 6 per cent who said Grant.

Battle brewing in ‘riding to watch’ Calgary Confederation: poll - image

The Mainstreet/Postmedia poll used Interactive Voice Response (IVR) technology to survey 679 residents living in Calgary Confederation on September 14, 2015, with a combination of land lines and cellular phones.

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According to Mainstreet Technologies the poll carries an overall margin of error of +/- 3.73%, 19 times out of 20.

Results were weighed by age and gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

BELOW: See the complete poll from Mainstreet Technologies

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