New poll says Saskatchewan Party set to win decisive majority

A new opinion poll by Forum Research released exclusively to Global Saskatoon on the eve of the provincial election points to a decisive majority for the Saskatchewan Party. 

Of those respondents absolutely certain to vote on Monday, 62 per cent said they would be voting for, or are leaning towards, the Sask Party, down slightly from 66 per cent in an October 26th Forum Research poll. 

“Based on these results it is clear that Brad Wall will secure a second consecutive majority government in Saskatchewan’s upcoming provincial election despite losing some traction late in the game,” said Forum Research president Lorne Bozinoff. 

Support for the NDP was up from 30 per cent to 34 per cent while support for the Green Party and the Liberals remained unchanged at three and one per cent respectively. 

Bozinoff says taking into account the margin of error, voting intention results – if it holds on Election Day – would yield 49 seats for the Sask Party and nine for the NDP. 

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Support for the Sask Party remains high in their traditional stronghold of rural southern Saskatchewan, with 68 per cent of the respondents saying they are voting for, or leaning towards, the Sask Party. 

In Saskatoon, support for the Sask Party was at 59 per cent and was sitting at 58 per cent in Regina. 

Voters younger than 25 were significantly less likely, at 45 per cent, to support the Sask Party, while support for the party remained high among older voters. Sixty-seven per cent of those 55- to 64-years-of-age and 66 per cent of respondents 65-years-old or higher said they are supporting Brad Wall. 

The Forum Research opinion poll of 1,687 eligible voters in the province was conducted on November 5th and is considered accurate plus or minus 2.4 per cent, 19 times out of 20.