Ontario Election: Liberals lead by a hair (but no one owns economic file)

Watch video above: New seat projections show narrow Liberal victory. Alan Carter reports. 

TORONTO – Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals are back in the lead, according to an aggregate of recent polls.

But one new poll, released by Ipsos-Reid, suggests Ontarians see little difference between any of the three parties when it comes to dealing with the economy.

The Liberals are still projected to form the next government of Ontario – but just barely. An aggregate of polls created by Barry Kay of the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy suggests the Liberals will form a minority government with 46 seats. But it’s a small lead: The Tories would have 41 seats and the NDP would be the third party with 20.

And for the first time since the campaign began, the Liberals are a fraction of one per cent lead in the popular vote.

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It’s the economy…

The Tories have promised a million jobs (but it’s actually just under half that); the NDP promises tax credits; the Liberals say better transit and company-specific grants will bring jobs.

In Depth: Ontario Election 2014

But have they convinced the voting public? No one party is doing a better job of convincing voters of their economic-chops than the other two, according to a poll of 800 Ontarians conducted between May 20 and May 21. Twenty-nine per cent of those surveyed said the Tories are best, while 28 per cent and 26 per cent think it’s the Liberals or NDP, respectively.

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100,000 pink slips? No, thanks.

The same poll also found many voters resent Hudak’s plan to cut 100,000 public sector jobs through contracting out and attrition.

Sixty-one per cent oppose the plan while 39 per cent support the cuts, according to the Ipsos-Reid poll.

Opposition differs throughout the province but still remains strong: In the 905 only 59 per cent of those polled don’t like the plan. That number increases to 62 per cent in the east, 65 per cent in central Ontario, 71 per cent in southwestern Ontario and 78 per cent in northern Ontario.

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