WATCH: Polls in Quebec in recent weeks are pointing towards a possible come-from-behind win for the Liberal Party. The Parti Quebecois was poised for a majority, but now appears to be floundering. Mike Armstrong reports.
MONTREAL – The latest Quebec election poll shows the Liberal Party holding onto its lead, with clear support from non-francophone voters.
The Leger Marketing survey was conducted for the Journal de Montreal on Day 20 of the province’s election campaign.
It was the most significant poll to date, surveying nearly 3,700 respondents over a two-day period.
READ MORE: Quebec City Leger poll shows Liberal Party gains
The poll revealed that the Liberal Party has 40 per cent support across the province, while the Parti Quebecois’ support was at 33 per cent, the Coalition Avenir Quebec at 15 per cent and Quebec Solidaire at 9 per cent.
The results of the poll are as follows:
Quebec Liberal Party: 40%
Parti Quebecois: 33%
Coalition Avenir Quebec: 15%
Quebec Solidaire: 9%
I don’t know: 12%
The Liberal Party support was strongest in the urban areas of the province: Montreal (50 per cent), Laval (53 per cent), Quebec City (42 per cent) and the Outaouais region (49 per cent), while Parti Quebecois support remained solid in the regions: Abitibi-Témiscamingue (47 per cent), Bas-Saint-Laurent/Gaspésie/Iles-de-la-Madeleine (46 per cent), Lanaudière-Laurentides (45 per cent) and Saguenay-Lac-Saint- Jean/Côte Nord (43 per cent).
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The most support for the Coalition Avenir Quebec came from Chaudière-Appalaches (28 per cent) and Lanaudière-Laurentides (23 per cent). The strongest support for Quebec Solidaire was found in Bas-Saint-Laurent/Gaspésie/Iles-de-la-Madeleine, Estrie and Abitibi-Témiscamingue (all at 13 per cent).
The voting preferences of Quebec’s two solitudes was also profiled in the poll, revealing a clear divide along language lines.
A majority of “non-francophone” voters supported the Liberal Party (76 per cent), while voting preferences were more complex amongst francophone respondents.
The Parti Quebecois garnered 40 per cent support from French voters, while the Liberals were at 30 per cent. Support for the Coaltion Avenir Quebec was at 17 per cent and Quebec Solidaire had 10 per cent of the francophone vote.
| Non-francophone | Francophone | |
| Quebec Liberal Party: | 76% | 30% |
| Parti Quebecois: | 40% | 9% |
| Coalition Avenir Quebec: | 17% | 7% |
| Quebec Solidaire: | 10% | 4% |
When choosing who they felt would represent Quebec best as premier, the vote was divided along similar lines for non-francophone and francophone respondents.
| Non-francophone | Francophone | |
| Quebec Liberal Party: | 58% | 23% |
| Parti Quebecois: | 4% | 30% |
| Coalition Avenir Quebec: | 8% | 18% |
| Quebec Solidaire: | 4% | 9% |
The online poll surveyed 3,692 people from March 21 to 23, 2014, and had a 1.9 per cent margin of error 19 times out of 20.
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