TORONTO – This week the Internet has been abuzz with the announcement of the Mars 100, the people who have made the Mars One project’s shortlist for a one-way trip to the red planet.
But those who have signed up might want to consider the odds of getting there safely.
Sure, NASA’s record of missions to Mars have been incredibly successful — lately. India’s Mars Orbiter Mission is also being heralded as an incredible success (they did it on a far smaller budget than NASA’s). But the success rate of missions is less than 50 per cent. You can find a detailed list here.
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One might argue that a human mission would have people who can fix problems on the spacecraft themselves rather than depend on command sent from Earth, and there’s a lot to say for that.
But it’s just something to think about.