A warmer and drier winter so far should lead to a below normal spring run-off for most of Saskatchewan. The Water Security Agency released its preliminary outlook Tuesday for the province.
According to the agency, most of the province has a below normal snowpack for this time of year. The exceptions are some areas in the east-central region north of Yorkton up to Hudson Bay and over to Nipawin where the snowpack is near normal.
There are some areas to keep an eye on. Some east-central regions had above average water on the landscape heading into freeze-up and a near normal run-off is expected.
An area from Yorkton to Last Mountain Lake could see above normal run-offs based on current conditions.
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The current models are calling for above normal temperatures over the next three months, which could result in an early run-off.
One factor that could change everything is precipitation. The current models are calling for near normal precipitation over the next three months, but officials were quick to point out that forecasting long-range precipitation outlooks are difficult to rely on.
The agency warns that it is still early and conditions could change between now and spring run-off.