Saskatoon weather outlook – February 2
A cooler work week gives way to a warm, wet and windy first weekend of February.
Temperatures fell back to -17 overnight in Saskatoon with wind chills back into the mid-minus 20s before warming back up into minus single digits by afternoon.
Overcast conditions gradually started to break up over the city through the day with sunny breaks seen by mid-morning, a trend that is expected to continue for the remainder of the day.
Tonight mostly cloudy skies will linger in an unsettled northwesterly flow aloft, giving a good chance of flurries through the night as the mercury dives back into the minus teens, but not as far as this morning.
Minus 18 is what it’ll feel like with wind chill when you head out the door in the morning tomorrow.
Light snow is expected, particularly in the morning under overcast skies, but also later on in the afternoon with a few disturbances passing through.
Temperatures will top out back in minus single digits for a daytime high, expecting to hit -7 by mid-afternoon.
Winds will pick up to around 20 km/h for a short time in the late afternoon as a brief pressure gradient sets up over the area, keeping wind chill values in minus double digits through the day.
Mostly cloudy skies with a chance of flurries and the potential for a few sunny breaks will stick around for the rest of the work week with lows in the mid-minus teens and a daytime high of -8 Thursday and -5 for Friday as warmer air pushes in for the weekend.
A low pressure system developing northwest of the city in northern Alberta will draw in some warm, above freezing air this weekend, with a daytime high a couple degrees above zero expected Saturday.
Most models are tracking that system through late Saturday into early Sunday with a good chance of some more moderate rain, switching to snow as it passes through.
Sunday looks to see temperatures falling back below freezing under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of flurries, especially early on as we duck into some cooler air on the backside of that system.
Winds will also be a factor this weekend with sustained speeds in the 40 to 50 km/h range with gusts upwards of 70 to 80 km/h not out of the question as the area of low pressure crashes through.
Dee McCallum took this Your Saskatchewan photo at Sandy Bay:
Winter 2015-16 update
Meteorological winter consists of the months of December, January and February and so far this season we’re way warmer and slightly drier than normal.
In December temperatures trended approximately four degrees warmer than normal with daytime highs around 2.6 degrees above average and overnight lows over five degrees higher than seasonal.
The mild trend continued into January with daytime highs and overnight lows approximately two-and-a-half degrees warmer than normal, which is still very significant, especially given that we’re averaging out 31 days of data.
In terms of precipitation, December only saw 19 per cent of our normal snow and rain while January had substantially higher amounts a total of 17.3 millimetres of rain and melted snow when our normal precipitation total through the month is 14.8 millimetres.
A large chunk of our January precipitation that put us over our average was a heavy freezing rain event the evening of Jan. 26 into the early morning hours of Jan. 27 when 9.2 millimetres was recorded.
It looks like the much warmer than normal and slightly drier than normal trend will continue through February as well as the influence of El Niño continue to be felt across the Prairies.
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