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New poll suggests gap between N.B. Liberals and Tories is shrinking

The leaders of the New Brunswick Conservative, Liberal, New Democrat, Green and People's Alliance parties are shown (L to R): David Alward, Brian Gallant, Dominic Cardy, David Coon, Kris Austin. File/Global News/The Canadian Press

With only days to go before the conclusion of the New Brunswick election campaign, a new poll shows the gap between the leading Liberals and governing Progressive Conservatives has narrowed.

A Corporate Research Associates (CRA) poll released Friday shows Brian Gallant’s Liberal Party in the lead with 45 per cent of decided voters, down from 48 per cent in an August 2014 poll.

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Gallant’s personal popularity ranked first, with 32 per cent of respondents saying he was their preferred leader, down from 35 per cent.

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David Alward’s Progressive Conservative Party, meanwhile, is up to 36 per cent support among decided voters, from 29 per cent in August.

Alward polled as the leader of choice for 27 per cent of respondents, up from 22 per cent.

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Support for the NDP dropped from 17 per cent to 11 per cent, while Green Party support rose slightly to 6 per cent from 4 per cent.

The poll numbers show NDP leader Dominic Cardy is preferred by seven per cent of voters, down from 11 per cent, while Green Party leader David Coon has six per cent support, up from five per cent.

Two per cent of decided voters said they would cast a ballot for the People’s Alliance of New Brunswick, which is unchanged from the previous poll. Leader Kris Austin has two percent support as poll respondents’ choice of preferred leader.

Six per cent said they preferred none of the leaders.

The poll also says 18 per cent of eligible voters are undecided, with eight per cent refusing to state a preference and five per cent who either support none of the parties or do not plan to vote.

CRA says the results are based on a telephone survey of 489 New Brunswickers conducted from Sept. 15-18, and the results are accurate to within a margin of 4.4 percentage points, 95 times out of 100.

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